Monday, April 11, 2005

Here's why gas is so high...

From Independent Clearing House--Part of Lindoff's article:

"In fact the real culprit behind these higher oil prices is the Bush Administration, which, thanks to its massive deficits and tax give-aways to the rich and corporations, to its war spending, and to its failure to combat unprecedented and ever-larger trade deficits, has been causing the dollar to plunge in value.
Oil is a commodity and it is priced in dollars. If dollars decline in value, then the price of oil will rise in inverse proportion.

One need only look at Europe to see what this means.
Over the period from February 1, 2003, just before the start of the Iraq War, when oil prices began to rise in earnest, to Feb. 1, 2005, the price of a barrel of oil in dollars rose about 30 percent, from $30.13 a barrel to $42.91 a barrel. But over that same period of time, the Euro, Europe's new combined currency, rose 21 percent against the U.S. dollar, from .93 Euros to the dollar in February, 2003 to just .77 to the U.S. dollar in February, 2005.
For Europeans, then, the net rise in oil prices over the two years of the Iraq War has been just 9 percent, or less than 5 percent per year-hardly the kind of energy inflation that would cause economic problems.

And this situation is likely to get only worse. Some Wall Street oil industry analysts are now predicting that oil could, before too long, hit $100 a barrel. What they are saying really is that the dollar is likely to fall in value by 50 percent.
Should that happen, though, the OPEC states would likely at some point along the way decide that it is ridiculous for them to continue pricing oil in dollars, since the piles of dollars filling their bank vaults will be losing value faster than their oil wells are emptying. At some point, the oil producing states, including Russia and Norway, will inevitably switch to pricing their oil in a basket of currencies-a basket that would prominently feature the Euro and probably the Japanese Yen.

At that point there would be little left to prop up the dollar, and it could end up becoming little better than a Third World currency.
That's something to chew on next time you're filling your car with $2.25/gallon or $2.50/gallon gas at the local pump.
It's not oil sheiks or even oil executives (though they're certainly raking in the dough!); it's Bush economic policy, stupid."

Plain to see that hard right religious conservatives--Bush's precious base for whom he will say anything...and might even do some things--and his financiers--the extremely wealthy--will take care of their own interests and to hell with the nation's. Love of money, love of power, will sink us all. Bush's and the Repubs' terms in office cannot end too soon.

But hark! The 2006 election is not all that far away. Are the voting machines fixed and will they produce a paper trail? No. Have steps been taken so that ALL voters have an even shot at the polling places? No. John Kerry is trying, but he needs serious support from not only the public, but the rest of Congress and the Judiciary. Otherwise, we're screwed again.
Wrap...

2 comments:

Bill said...

The falling dollar is definately a major contributor to the high cost of oil in the US. But there is a component of oil supply in it too. If there were adequate extra oil in the system it could be released to put downward pressure on the price. That hasn't happened, even though the Saudi's keep threatening to do so. Now we have to decide if the Bush people are doing this on purpose for some reason.

Watch 'n Wait said...

Hi Bill...Have just read somewhere that the western part of the US produces enough oil for its own needs but some Alaskan oil is sold to China or Japan. Have no idea why, if we're low on oil, we're selling it. I'm not clear on that situation at all. I agree that world oil supply is going down and that the Saudis had some sort of agreement with BushCo to produce more if prices got too high, but haven't done so. BushCo was absolutely determined to drill in Alaska's park and therefore had to show a shortage to get those votes and did. What else they're aiming to get is anyone's guess.